Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Tonawanda Town Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029008400 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,410

The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 36029008400 reflects conditions in Tonawanda Town, New York. On the national scale it ranks #24,212 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

75% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 58% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,034 a month against an average household income of $71,039 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 6% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units1,017

Renter share24.8%

SVI overall0.50

Poverty rate11.8%

Median income$71,039

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonawanda Town and the region

Centroid at 42.9714, -78.9195 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tonawanda Town scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

11.8% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$1,034 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

5.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

4.1

How Tonawanda Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
2%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
7.1%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
24.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda Town

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029008400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029008400?

Census tract 36029008400 in Tonawanda Town scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029008400?

Median gross rent is $1,034/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029008400?

11.8% of residents in tract 36029008400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,410.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029008400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 32th, minority 27th, housing 78th.

What share of households in tract 36029008400 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029008400 compare to Tonawanda Town overall?

Tract 36029008400 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tonawanda Town at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029008400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda Town

Top eight tracts in Tonawanda Town ranked by composite eviction-risk score.