Tract 36029009009 Eviction Risk: Moderate

The voucher gap is 51.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points.

Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Cost burden runs 40% here against 44.6% across Erie County. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $133,059, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 3.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.