Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Tonawanda Town Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36029007903 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,996
Tract 36029007903 sits in Tonawanda Town eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Population here is 2,996. Against Erie County at 44.6%, about one in five of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,375
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$89,327
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
7
th percentile
Very Low
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tonawanda Town and the region
Centroid at 42.9863, -78.8448 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tonawanda Town scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
4.1
How Tonawanda Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda Town
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $89,327, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 3.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent is $1,170, close to the Tonawanda Town average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029007903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029007903?
Census tract 36029007903 in Tonawanda Town scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029007903?
Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029007903?
4.4% of residents in tract 36029007903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,996.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029007903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 32th, minority 26th, housing 4th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029007903 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029007903 compare to Tonawanda Town overall?
Tract 36029007903 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Tonawanda Town at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda Town
Top eight tracts in Tonawanda Town ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
36029008300
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008202
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008101
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008400
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
North Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
University Heights
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008201
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008001
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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