Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Kaisertown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Buffalo

Tract 36029011300 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,318 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Here is how census tract 36029011300, in the Kaisertown area of Buffalo eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,318. It lands near the 42nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

28% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $880 a month against an average household income of $68,879 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 16% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units2,312

Renter share22.8%

SVI overall0.29

Poverty rate6.5%

Median income$68,879

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8583, -78.7812 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kaisertown scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

6.5% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$880 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

5.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

4.6

How Kaisertown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

28%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
10%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kaisertown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.8%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
10.9%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
25.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kaisertown

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029011300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029011300?

Census tract 36029011300 in the Kaisertown neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029011300?

Median gross rent is $880/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029011300?

6.5% of residents in tract 36029011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,318.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029011300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 16th, minority 10th, housing 63th.

Is tract 36029011300 considered part of Kaisertown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029011300 fall within Kaisertown (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029011300 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029011300 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029011300 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029011300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.