Canarsie Eviction Risk: High , New York

At $666 a month, rents run 63% under what the rest of New York commands. SNAP participation runs 56.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 55.0% against 17.8% nationally. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $23,580 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The filing record is not thin: 6,858 evictions over 7 years of observation.

It sits 0.7 points above the Kings County average of 9.2. The worst year on record was 2002, when 100.9% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Brooklyn. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 62.2% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.