Canarsie Eviction Risk: High , New York

At $475 a month, rents run 74% under what the rest of New York commands. Housing insecurity runs 41.4% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 54.1% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10.

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Kings County average of 9.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.