Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

19th Ward Eviction Risk: High , Rochester

Tract 36055006200 · Monroe County, NY · pop 2,726 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

36055006200 is a census tract in the 19th Ward area of Rochester, NY. It scores 8.9/10 for landlords. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

8.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 11% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units965

Renter share31.7%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate16.1%

Median income$62,475

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rochester and the region

Centroid at 43.1417, -77.6536 · click any tract to drill in

Why 19th Ward scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rochester

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

16.1% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,302 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

How 19th Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
57%Grade B
43%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within 19th Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.3%Housing insecurity
14.3%Utility-shutoff threat
23.7%Food insecurity
23.5%SNAP enrollment
12.6%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in 19th Ward

64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Monroe County average of 46.4%. It sits 1.7 points above the Monroe County average of 7.2. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,302, 20% above the Rochester average. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Housing insecurity runs 22.3% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36055006200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36055006200?

Census tract 36055006200 in the 19th Ward neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36055006200?

Median gross rent is $1,302/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36055006200?

16.1% of residents in tract 36055006200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,726.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36055006200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 59th, minority 82th, housing 56th.

Is tract 36055006200 considered part of 19th Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36055006200 fall within 19th Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36055006200 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36055006200 compare to Rochester overall?

Tract 36055006200 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Rochester at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36055006200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rochester

Top eight tracts in Rochester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.