Neighborhood · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally

19th Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rochester

Tract 36055006200 · Monroe County, NY · pop 2,726 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the 19th Ward neighborhood of Rochester centers on tract 36055006200, which scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,726 residents. On the national scale it ranks #9,832 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,302 a month while the average household earns $62,475 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 11% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units965

Renter share31.7%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate16.1%

Median income$62,475

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rochester and the region

Centroid at 43.1417, -77.6536 · click any tract to drill in

Why 19th Ward scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rochester

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

16.1% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,302 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

How 19th Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
57%Grade B
43%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within 19th Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.3%Housing insecurity
14.3%Utility-shutoff threat
23.7%Food insecurity
23.5%SNAP enrollment
12.6%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in 19th Ward

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rochester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Monroe County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36055006200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36055006200?

Census tract 36055006200 in the 19th Ward neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36055006200?

Median gross rent is $1,302/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36055006200?

16.1% of residents in tract 36055006200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,726.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36055006200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 59th, minority 82th, housing 56th.

Is tract 36055006200 considered part of 19th Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36055006200 fall within 19th Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36055006200 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36055006200 compare to Rochester overall?

Tract 36055006200 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Rochester at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36055006200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rochester

Top eight tracts in Rochester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.