Skip to content
Neighborhood · Rochester, NY

19th Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 14,887 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10 · range 6.7–7.9

19th Ward is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Rochester with 5 census tracts and a population of 14,887 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,290/month sits 19% higher than the Rochester citywide average ($1,081).

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
19th Ward vs Rochester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.3% +29%
Rochester: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,290 +19%
Rochester: $1,081
Average HH income
$67,948 +46%
Rochester: $46,628
Poverty rate
17.8% -33%
Rochester: 26.6%
Renter share
40.2% -35%
Rochester: 61.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across 19th Ward and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6.7–7.9

Why 19th Ward scores 7.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
17.8% below poverty line · Range 2.0–5.7 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–6.9 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

19th Ward vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

19th Ward score vs. parent city, state, U.S.19th Ward: 7.47.419th WardNeighborhoodParent city: 9.19.1Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in 19th Ward?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 6.7 to 7.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in 19th Ward

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36055007100 7.9 3,131 42% $1,143
36055007000 7.4 3,268 43% $1,694
36055006700 7.4 2,935 41% $1,103
36055006200 7.3 2,726 64% $1,302
36055006800 6.7 2,827 16% $1,166
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 59%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in 19th Ward

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About 19th Ward

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for 19th Ward?

19th Ward scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does 19th Ward compare to Rochester overall?

19th Ward scores 1.7 points lower than Rochester overall (9.1/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,290 vs $1,081.
Q3

What is the average rent in 19th Ward?

Average gross rent in 19th Ward is $1,290/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of 19th Ward residents are renters?

40% of 19th Ward households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 14,887 residents.
Q5

Is 19th Ward a high social-vulnerability area?

19th Ward sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in 19th Ward have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in 19th Ward is census tract 36055007100 (score 7.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 7.9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is 19th Ward for landlords?

19th Ward carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (9.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of 19th Ward?

19th Ward has 15,067 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (60.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near 19th Ward

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rochester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to 19th Ward.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further