5 census tracts · pop 14,887 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.9/10
· range 8–9.5
19th Ward is a 5-tract neighborhood of Rochester, NY, population 14,887. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.9/10, High tier. Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Against a Rochester baseline of 32.0%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 8 to 9.5, a 1.5-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The dominant input is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,290, 19% above the Rochester average of $1,081. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.
SNAP participation is 23.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Among the 36 mapped neighborhoods of Rochester, it ranks #25 by risk, the lower third.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $67,948. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.9
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
19th Ward vs RochesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in 19th Ward
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.2%Housing insecurity
13.9%Utility shutoff threat
23.4%Food insecurity
23.5%SNAP enrollment
7.2%No health insurance
30.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About 19th Ward
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for 19th Ward?
19th Ward scores 8.9/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does 19th Ward compare to Rochester overall?
19th Ward scores 0.8 points higher than Rochester overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,290 vs $1,081.
Q3
What is the average rent in 19th Ward?
Average gross rent in 19th Ward is $1,290/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of 19th Ward residents are renters?
40% of 19th Ward households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 14,887 residents.
Q5
Is 19th Ward a high social-vulnerability area?
19th Ward sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in 19th Ward have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in 19th Ward is census tract 36055007100 (score 9.5/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8 to 9.5, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7
How safe is 19th Ward for landlords?
19th Ward carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.9/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of 19th Ward?
19th Ward has 15,067 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (60.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
