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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Northland-Lyceum Eviction Risk: High , Irondequoit

Tract 36055008301 · Monroe County, NY · pop 4,722 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 36055008301 covers part of the Northland-Lyceum area of Rochester, NY, and scores 9.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,722 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 15% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,726
Renter share53.1%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$38,850

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Northland-Lyceum
Elevated
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 84 tracts In Irondequoit
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 210 tracts In Monroe County
Very High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,271 of 5,394 tracts In New York
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Irondequoit and the region

Centroid at 43.1818, -77.5672 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northland-Lyceum scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Irondequoit
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,039 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irondequoit
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irondequoit
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irondequoit
7.0

How Northland-Lyceum compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northland-Lyceum risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0083016.0Irondequoitparent city7.2Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northland-Lyceum. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northland-Lyceum

72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Monroe County average of 46.4%. Against the Monroe County average of 7.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

Food insecurity runs 34.1% against 17.8% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $38,850 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 27.9% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,039, close to the Rochester average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36055008301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36055008301?

Census tract 36055008301 in the Northland-Lyceum neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36055008301?

Median gross rent is $1,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36055008301?

19.1% of residents in tract 36055008301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,722.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36055008301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 98th, minority 80th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 36055008301 considered part of Northland-Lyceum?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36055008301 fall within Northland-Lyceum (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36055008301 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36055008301 compare to Irondequoit overall?

Tract 36055008301 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Irondequoit at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irondequoit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36055008301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irondequoit

Top eight tracts in Irondequoit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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