Northland-Lyceum Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irondequoit

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Average gross rent is $862, 26% below the Irondequoit average. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

SNAP participation runs 26.3% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 25.6% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Monroe County average of 7.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $35,817.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.