Manhattan Square Eviction Risk: High , Rochester

It sits 2.0 points above the Monroe County average of 7.2. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The dominant input is local political climate at 7.5/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,079, close to the Rochester average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $45,217.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.