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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally

Manhattan Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rochester

Tract 36055009302 · Monroe County, NY · pop 2,098 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

How risky is the Manhattan Square area of Rochester for landlords? Census tract 36055009302 scores 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #12,974 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,079 a month against an average household income of $45,217 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 92% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 50% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,442
Renter share91.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$45,217

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Manhattan Square
Very High
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#57 of 84 tracts In Rochester
Low
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#57 of 210 tracts In Monroe County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,234 of 5,394 tracts In New York
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rochester and the region

Centroid at 43.1526, -77.5981 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manhattan Square scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rochester
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,079 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rochester
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rochester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rochester
7.0

How Manhattan Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manhattan Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 009302Rochester: 9.19.1Rochesterparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manhattan Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manhattan Square

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rochester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Monroe County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Part of this tract, about 33% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36055009302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36055009302?

Census tract 36055009302 in the Manhattan Square neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36055009302?

Median gross rent is $1,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36055009302?

15.4% of residents in tract 36055009302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,098.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36055009302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 3th, minority 38th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 36055009302 considered part of Manhattan Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36055009302 fall within Manhattan Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36055009302 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36055009302 compare to Rochester overall?

Tract 36055009302 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Rochester at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36055009302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rochester

Top eight tracts in Rochester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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