Manhattan Square Eviction Risk: High

Against a Rochester baseline of 32.0%, 42% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Average gross rent is $1,155, 7% above the Rochester average of $1,081. That places it #23 of 36 neighborhoods in Rochester.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Corn Hill and Neighborhood Of The Arts. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $57,511.

With little internal variation, 9.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.