Neighborhood · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally

Manhattan Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rochester

Tract 36055009402 · Monroe County, NY · pop 1,947 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 36055009402 runs through the Manhattan Square area of Rochester. With 1,947 residents, it scores 6.3/10 for landlords. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,237 a month while the average household earns $70,758 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 80% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 49% Owners 20%

Tract context

Occupied units1,557

Renter share80.4%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate18.2%

Median income$70,758

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rochester and the region

Centroid at 43.1549, -77.6022 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manhattan Square scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rochester

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

18.2% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,237 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

How Manhattan Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

24%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
21%Grade C
4%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manhattan Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.6%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
10.9%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
13.9%Frequent mental distress
21.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manhattan Square

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rochester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Monroe County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 4% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36055009402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36055009402?

Census tract 36055009402 in the Manhattan Square neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36055009402?

Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36055009402?

18.2% of residents in tract 36055009402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,947.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36055009402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 7th, minority 49th, housing 65th.

Is tract 36055009402 considered part of Manhattan Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36055009402 fall within Manhattan Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36055009402 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36055009402 compare to Rochester overall?

Tract 36055009402 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Rochester at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36055009402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rochester

Top eight tracts in Rochester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.