Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Belgrave Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Great Neck Plaza
Tract 36059300800 · Nassau County, NY · pop 4,171 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 36059300800 sits in the Belgrave Square area of University Gardens, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,501
Renter share19.1%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$94,886
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Great Neck Plaza and the region
Centroid at 40.7751, -73.7279 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belgrave Square scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Great Neck Plaza
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,689 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Neck Plaza
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Neck Plaza
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Neck Plaza
6.8
How Belgrave Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belgrave Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belgrave Square
64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Nassau County average of 44.5%. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Nassau County average of 6.5.
SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,689 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of University Gardens commands.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $94,886.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36059300800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059300800?
Census tract 36059300800 in the Belgrave Square neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36059300800?
Median gross rent is $1,689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36059300800?
7.0% of residents in tract 36059300800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,171.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36059300800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 35th, minority 67th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 36059300800 considered part of Belgrave Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059300800 fall within Belgrave Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36059300800 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36059300800 compare to Great Neck Plaza overall?
Tract 36059300800 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Great Neck Plaza at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Neck Plaza; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36059300800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related