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Neighborhood · Great Neck Plaza, NY

Belgrave Square Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 17,394 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10 · range 6.5–8.3

Belgrave Square takes in 3 census tracts of Great Neck Plaza, NY and houses 17,394 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.4/10, in the Elevated tier. At $1,292 a month, rents sit 47% under what the rest of Great Neck Plaza commands.

Against a Great Neck Plaza baseline of 31.2%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.5 to 8.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10.

3.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate. At 28% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Rent takes 12% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Belgrave Square vs Great Neck Plaza How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.3% +45%
Great Neck Plaza: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,292 -47%
Great Neck Plaza: $2,446
Average HH income
$127,843 +20%
Great Neck Plaza: $106,549
Poverty rate
6.5% -6%
Great Neck Plaza: 6.9%
Renter share
27.7% -36%
Great Neck Plaza: 43.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Belgrave Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.5–8.3

Why Belgrave Square scores 7.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–8.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 7.3–9.5 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.9 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 3.2–8.7 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.6–6.8 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.9 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–5.0 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Belgrave Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Belgrave Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.4Belgrave SquareNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Belgrave Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 6.5 to 8.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Belgrave Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36059300700 8.3 6,510 49% $2,370
36059300800 7.5 4,171 64% $1,689
36059300600 6.5 6,713 30% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Belgrave Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Belgrave Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Belgrave Square?

Belgrave Square scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Belgrave Square compare to Great Neck Plaza overall?

Belgrave Square scores 0.5 points lower than Great Neck Plaza overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,292 vs $2,446.
Q3

What is the average rent in Belgrave Square?

Average gross rent in Belgrave Square is $1,292/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Belgrave Square residents are renters?

28% of Belgrave Square households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Great Neck Plaza). The neighborhood has 17,394 residents.
Q5

Is Belgrave Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Belgrave Square sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Belgrave Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Belgrave Square is census tract 36059300700 (score 8.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 8.3, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Belgrave Square for landlords?

Belgrave Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Great Neck Plaza as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Belgrave Square?

Belgrave Square has 17,396 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (33.2%), Hispanic / Latino (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Belgrave Square

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