Washington Square Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

SNAP participation runs 40.7% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.8/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Onondaga County average of 43.5%.

It sits 2.5 points above the Onondaga County average of 6.6. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 37.4% against 17.8% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $998, close to the Syracuse average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.