South Valley Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

Against Onondaga County at 43.5%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Onondaga County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The score leans hardest on state political climate at 7.3/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. SNAP participation runs 25.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Syracuse. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,031, close to the Syracuse average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.