Brighton Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 37.7% against 14.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $24,471, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

It sits 2.5 points above the Onondaga County average of 6.6. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Disability prevalence runs 44.2% against 31.5% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Syracuse. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.