Brighton Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 34.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 48%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 2.5 points above the Onondaga County average of 6.6.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Onondaga County average of 43.5%. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Disability prevalence runs 47.3% against 31.5% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

At $888 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Syracuse commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.