South Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Syracuse

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.6/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.1/10.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. The voucher gap is 14.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Syracuse. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 3.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,516, close to the Nedrow average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.