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Neighborhood · Syracuse, NY

South Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 9,778 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 3.1–8.2

South Valley is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Syracuse with 4 census tracts and a population of 9,778 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,144/month sits 10% higher than the Syracuse citywide average ($1,039).

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
South Valley vs Syracuse How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.8% +36%
Syracuse: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$1,144 +10%
Syracuse: $1,039
Average HH income
$55,267 +21%
Syracuse: $45,845
Poverty rate
15.8% -47%
Syracuse: 29.6%
Renter share
35.7% -39%
Syracuse: 58.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.1–8.2

Why South Valley scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.4–7.0 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 2.1–6.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–7.0 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 3.4–6.5 across tracts
5.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.7–6.5 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
15.8% below poverty line · Range 1.6–6.2 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–6.5 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

South Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Valley: 6.76.7South ValleyNeighborhoodParent city: 8.78.7Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Valley?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 5.1 points from 3.1 to 8.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in South Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36067006000 8.2 3,356 64% $1,031
36067006102 8.1 1,956 50% $674
36067006103 6.8 2,179 8% $1,350
36067016200 3.1 2,287 46% $1,516
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 54

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 47%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Valley?

South Valley scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Valley compare to Syracuse overall?

South Valley scores 2.0 points lower than Syracuse overall (8.7/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,144 vs $1,039.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Valley?

Average gross rent in South Valley is $1,144/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Valley residents are renters?

36% of South Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Syracuse). The neighborhood has 9,778 residents.
Q5

Is South Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

South Valley sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Valley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Valley is census tract 36067006000 (score 8.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 8.2, a spread of 5.1 points.
Q7

How safe is South Valley for landlords?

South Valley carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Syracuse as a whole (8.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Valley?

South Valley has 9,782 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19%), Hispanic / Latino (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Syracuse

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Valley.

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