Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Virginia Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Goshen
Tract 36071012200 · Orange County, NY · pop 3,939 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 36071012200 (the Virginia Hills area of Goshen, New York) comes in at 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,628 a month while the average household earns $116,341 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,592
Renter share9.7%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$116,341
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goshen and the region
Centroid at 41.3956, -74.3023 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Hills scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goshen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,628 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
4.5
How Virginia Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.8%Food insecurity
- 6.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 21.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Hills
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goshen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 6.0 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071012200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071012200?
Census tract 36071012200 in the Virginia Hills neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071012200?
Median gross rent is $1,628/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071012200?
2.7% of residents in tract 36071012200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,939.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071012200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 78th, minority 41th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 36071012200 considered part of Virginia Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071012200 fall within Virginia Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36071012200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36071012200 compare to Goshen overall?
Tract 36071012200 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Goshen at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goshen
Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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