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Neighborhood · Goshen, NY

Virginia Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,939 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Virginia Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Goshen, NY, population 3,939. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Goshen rate of 31.2%. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.3/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10. Food insecurity affects 8.8% of adults, 9.0 points below the national rate. 5.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Average gross rent is $1,628, 10% below the Goshen average of $1,805. At 10% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $116,341, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Virginia Hills vs Goshen How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +30%
Goshen: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,628 -10%
Goshen: $1,805
Average HH income
$116,341 +17%
Goshen: $99,464
Poverty rate
2.7% +50%
Goshen: 1.8%
Renter share
9.7% -74%
Goshen: 37.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Virginia Hills scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
2.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Virginia Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Virginia Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Virginia HillsNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Virginia Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36071012200 5.2 3,939 41% $1,628
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Virginia Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Virginia Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Virginia Hills?

Virginia Hills scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Virginia Hills compare to Goshen overall?

Virginia Hills scores 1.4 points lower than Goshen overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,628 vs $1,805.
Q3

What is the average rent in Virginia Hills?

Average gross rent in Virginia eviction laws Hills is $1,628/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Virginia Hills residents are renters?

10% of Virginia Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Goshen). The neighborhood has 3,939 residents.
Q5

Is Virginia Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Virginia Hills sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Virginia Hills for landlords?

Virginia eviction laws Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goshen as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Virginia Hills?

Virginia Hills has 4,177 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.9%), Hispanic / Latino (22%), Other / Multiracial (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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