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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally

East Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Elevated , New York

Tract 36081038100 · Queens County, NY · pop 7,121 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 36081038100 runs through the East Elmhurst neighborhood of New York. With 7,121 residents, it scores 7.3/10 for landlords. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,937 monthly, set against $81,484 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 18% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,797
Renter share54.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$81,484

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 15 tracts In East Elmhurst
Elevated
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#938 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Elevated
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 724 tracts In Queens County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,341 of 5,394 tracts In New York
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.7561, -73.8577 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Elmhurst scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,937 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How East Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Elmhurst risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.47.4This tracttract 038100New York: 9.79.7New Yorkparent cityCounty: 6.86.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 572Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak (2005)
  • 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 360810381002000: 97 filings (9.36/100 renter HHs)2001: 92 filings (8.88/100 renter HHs)2002: 104 filings (10.03/100 renter HHs)2004: 44 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2005: 111 filings (12.54/100 renter HHs)2006: 80 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 44 filings (4.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Elmhurst

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New York eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Queens County average of 7.0 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 572 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 8.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.5% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36081038100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36081038100?

Census tract 36081038100 in the East Elmhurst neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36081038100?

Median gross rent is $1,937/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36081038100?

18.2% of residents in tract 36081038100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,121.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36081038100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 49th, minority 98th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 36081038100 considered part of East Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36081038100 fall within East Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36081038100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 572 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 36081038100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.32% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36081038100 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36081038100 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36081038100 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36081038100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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