Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Midland Beach Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36085011203 · Richmond County, NY · pop 6,590 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 36085011203 covers part of the Midland Beach area of New York, NY, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,590 residents. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 9% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units2,211

Renter share26.9%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate13.8%

Median income$78,505

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.5738, -74.0974 · click any tract to drill in

Why Midland Beach scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New York

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

13.8% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,926 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from New York

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New York

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from New York

7.1

How Midland Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
38%Grade C
59%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Midland Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.9%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
20.9%Food insecurity
18.3%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Midland Beach

around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Richmond County average of 50.1%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Staten Island. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Richmond County average of 9.3 closely. Average gross rent is $1,926, close to the New York average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $78,505.

27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36085011203

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36085011203?

Census tract 36085011203 in the Midland Beach neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36085011203?

Median gross rent is $1,926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36085011203?

13.8% of residents in tract 36085011203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,590.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36085011203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 50th, minority 70th, housing 79th.

Is tract 36085011203 considered part of Midland Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36085011203 fall within Midland Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36085011203 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36085011203 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36085011203 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36085011203 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 59% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.