Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Elm Park Eviction Risk: High , New York
Tract 36085023100 · Richmond County, NY · pop 4,978 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
36085023100 is a census tract in the Elm Park area of New York, NY. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. 72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Richmond County average of 50.1%.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,490
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$83,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New York and the region
Centroid at 40.6301, -74.1563 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elm Park scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1
How Elm Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 220Total filings over 7 yrs
- 7.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2002)
- 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elm Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.9%Food insecurity
- 19.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elm Park
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Average gross rent is $2,112, 16% above the New York average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 220 filings here across 7 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2002 at 11.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Staten Island. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36085023100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36085023100?
Census tract 36085023100 in the Elm Park neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36085023100?
Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36085023100?
16.7% of residents in tract 36085023100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,978.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36085023100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 50th, minority 88th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 36085023100 considered part of Elm Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36085023100 fall within Elm Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36085023100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 220 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 36085023100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.61% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 36085023100 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 36085023100 compare to New York overall?
Tract 36085023100 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 36085023100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New York
Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
East Flatbush
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Clason Point
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Wave Crest
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Woodhaven
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Morris Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Fox Hills
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Pelham Bay
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Norwood
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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