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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Elm Park Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36085023900 · Richmond County, NY · pop 3,714 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 36085023900 covers part of the Elm Park area of New York, NY, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,714. The severe-burden share is 71%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 6% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,086
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$83,864

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Elm Park
Very Low
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#463 of 2,324 tracts In New York
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 125 tracts In Richmond County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.6295, -74.1493 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elm Park scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,079 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Elm Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elm Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0239009.6New Yorkparent city9.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 149Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2000)
  • 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 36085023900
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elm Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elm Park

75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Richmond County average of 50.1%. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10.

Court records carry 149 eviction filings across 7 observed years. At $2,079 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of New York commands.

The worst year on record was 2000, when 7.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Staten Island. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36085023900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36085023900?

Census tract 36085023900 in the Elm Park neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36085023900?

Median gross rent is $2,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36085023900?

9.0% of residents in tract 36085023900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,714.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36085023900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 55th, minority 83th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 36085023900 considered part of Elm Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36085023900 fall within Elm Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36085023900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 149 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 36085023900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.91% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36085023900 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36085023900 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36085023900 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36085023900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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