Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
The Seasons at Elwood Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103111503 ·
Suffolk County, NY · pop 5,219 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 36103111503 sits in the The Seasons at Elwood area of Greenlawn, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 5,219. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 11%Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,789
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$126,693
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 5 tracts In The Seasons at Elwood
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Elwood
Very High
Within county
38th percentile
#239 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Low
Within state
26th percentile
#4,018 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elwood and the region
Centroid at 40.8610, -73.3549 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Seasons at Elwood scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elwood
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$541 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elwood
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elwood
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elwood
6.2
How The Seasons at Elwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
31%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Seasons at Elwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.9%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
10.6%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
14.2%Frequent mental distress
29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Seasons at Elwood
At $541 a month, rents run 65% under what the rest of Greenlawn commands. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Suffolk County average of 51.3%. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $126,693, annual rent is just 5%.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely. 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103111503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103111503?
Census tract 36103111503 in the The Seasons at Elwood neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103111503?
Median gross rent is $541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103111503?
8.3% of residents in tract 36103111503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,219.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103111503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 53th, minority 60th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 36103111503 considered part of The Seasons at Elwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36103111503 fall within The Seasons at Elwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36103111503 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36103111503 compare to Elwood overall?
Tract 36103111503 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Elwood at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elwood
Top eight tracts in Elwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.