Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Heer Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lindenhurst
Tract 36103124200 ·
Suffolk County, NY · pop 6,428 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
36103124200 is a census tract in the Heer Park area of Lindenhurst, NY. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,428. 63% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 7%Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$125,619
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#6 of 6 tracts In Heer Park
Very Low
Within parent city
40th percentile
#4 of 6 tracts In Lindenhurst
Moderate
Within county
35th percentile
#250 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Low
Within state
23th percentile
#4,137 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lindenhurst and the region
Centroid at 40.6811, -73.3627 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heer Park scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lindenhurst
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,701 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lindenhurst
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lindenhurst
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lindenhurst
6.1
How Heer Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.6%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
5.7%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heer Park
Cost burden runs 72% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. Average gross rent is $2,701, 43% above the Lindenhurst average. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $125,619.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103124200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103124200?
Census tract 36103124200 in the Heer Park neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103124200?
Median gross rent is $2,701/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103124200?
1.2% of residents in tract 36103124200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,428.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103124200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 64th, minority 35th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 36103124200 considered part of Heer Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36103124200 fall within Heer Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36103124200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36103124200 compare to Lindenhurst overall?
Tract 36103124200 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lindenhurst at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lindenhurst eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lindenhurst
Top eight tracts in Lindenhurst ranked by composite eviction-risk score.