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Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Patchogue Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36103159000 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,617

Eviction risk in Patchogue centers on tract 36103159000, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,617 residents. It lands near the 74th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,263 a month while the average household earns $99,185 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 23% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,017
Renter share39.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$99,185

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Patchogue
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Very High
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#3,955 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Patchogue and the region

Centroid at 40.7550, -73.0148 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patchogue scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Patchogue
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,263 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Patchogue
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Patchogue
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Patchogue
5.8

How Patchogue compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patchogue risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 159000Patchogue: 8.18.1Patchogueparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patchogue

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Patchogue, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103159000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103159000?

Census tract 36103159000 in Patchogue scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103159000?

Median gross rent is $2,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103159000?

11.0% of residents in tract 36103159000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,617.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103159000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 32th, minority 45th, housing 71th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103159000 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103159000 compare to Patchogue overall?

Tract 36103159000 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Patchogue at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Patchogue; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Patchogue

Top eight tracts in Patchogue ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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