Murray Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Scarsdale

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 15.7% against 31.5% nationally.

The voucher gap is 25.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against Westchester County at 47.2%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.2/10.

On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.2/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.