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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Long Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Island

Tract 37019020315 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 2,075 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 37019020315 in the Long Beach neighborhood of Oak Island ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,075 residents. On the national scale it ranks #30,344 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $893 a month against an average household income of $66,250 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,161
Renter share19.1%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate20.6%
Median income$66,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Long Beach
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Oak Island
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 43 tracts In Brunswick County
High
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#1,398 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Island and the region

Centroid at 33.9138, -78.0921 · click any tract to drill in

Why Long Beach scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Island
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.6% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$893 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Island
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Island
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Island
7.1

How Long Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Long Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 020315Oak Island: 2.52.5Oak Islandparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Long Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Long Beach

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Island, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Brunswick County average of 4.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37019020315

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020315?

Census tract 37019020315 in the Long Beach neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37019020315?

Median gross rent is $893/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020315?

20.6% of residents in tract 37019020315 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,075.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020315?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 33th, minority 1th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 37019020315 considered part of Long Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020315 fall within Long Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37019020315 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37019020315 compare to Oak Island overall?

Tract 37019020315 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Island at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Island

Top eight tracts in Oak Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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