Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Varnamtown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37019020405 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 3,356 · 20% of tract blocks fall in Varnamtown
37019020405 is a census tract in Varnamtown, NC. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,356 residents. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Brunswick County average of 40.6%.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,377
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$58,105
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Varnamtown and the region
Centroid at 33.9729, -78.2685 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varnamtown scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Varnamtown
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Varnamtown
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Varnamtown
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Varnamtown
7.9
How Varnamtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 93Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2015)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Varnamtown
Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 93 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Against the Brunswick County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020405?
Census tract 37019020405 in Varnamtown scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020405?
16.1% of residents in tract 37019020405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,356.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 21th, minority 5th, housing 42th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37019020405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 93 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 37019020405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.48% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37019020405 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37019020405 compare to Varnamtown overall?
Tract 37019020405 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Varnamtown at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Varnamtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Varnamtown
Top eight tracts in Varnamtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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