Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 37019020409 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37019020409 ·
Brunswick County, NC · pop 1,792
Tract 37019020409 sits in Brunswick County, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.9/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 8%Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units941
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$45,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
88th percentile
#6 of 43 tracts In Brunswick County
High
Within state
77th percentile
#614 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
59th percentile
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brunswick County and the region
Centroid at 33.9282, -78.3380 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 37019020409 scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$884 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 37019020409 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.5%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
10.5%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
40.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 37019020409
Against Brunswick County at 40.6%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, local political climate reads 2.3/10. Against the Brunswick County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020409?
Census tract 37019020409 in Brunswick County scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37019020409?
Median gross rent is $884/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020409?
20.1% of residents in tract 37019020409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,792.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 57th, minority 3th, housing 27th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37019020409 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.