Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Bolivia Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37019020603 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 3,470 · 6% of tract blocks fall in Bolivia
Census tract 37019020603 covers part of Bolivia, NC, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$63,859
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bolivia and the region
Centroid at 34.0182, -78.1976 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bolivia scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bolivia
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,345 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bolivia
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bolivia
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bolivia
6.5
How Bolivia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 55Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2009)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 83% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.2%Food insecurity
- 17.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bolivia
60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Brunswick County average of 40.6%. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Against the Brunswick County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 55 evictions over 7 years of observation. At $1,345 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Bolivia commands. Filings peaked in 2009 at 11.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020603?
Census tract 37019020603 in Bolivia scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37019020603?
Median gross rent is $1,345/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020603?
21.5% of residents in tract 37019020603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,470.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 16th, minority 46th, housing 52th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37019020603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 55 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 37019020603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.45% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37019020603 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37019020603 compare to Bolivia overall?
Tract 37019020603 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bolivia at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bolivia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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