Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Oakdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Bern
Tract 37049960402 · Craven County, NC · pop 4,536 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 37049960402 covers part of the Oakdale area of New Bern, NC, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,536 residents. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,692
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$60,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Bern and the region
Centroid at 35.0894, -77.0955 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakdale scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Bern
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Bern
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Bern
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Bern
6.9
How Oakdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 174Total filings over 2 yrs
- 17.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2016)
- 74Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakdale
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.7/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8/10.
Cost burden runs 48% here against 41.4% across Craven County. The filing record is not thin: 174 evictions over 2 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 20.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 17.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Craven County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,106, close to the New Bern average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37049960402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37049960402?
Census tract 37049960402 in the Oakdale neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37049960402?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37049960402?
17.5% of residents in tract 37049960402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,536.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37049960402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 97th, minority 70th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 37049960402 considered part of Oakdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37049960402 fall within Oakdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37049960402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 174 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37049960402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.44% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37049960402 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37049960402 compare to New Bern overall?
Tract 37049960402 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of New Bern at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Bern eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Bern
Top eight tracts in New Bern ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
DeGraffenried Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
37049960502
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Woodrow
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
DeGraffenried Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
DeGraffenried Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37049960501
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37049960401
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Taberna
3
/ 10 · Low
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