Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Oakdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Bern
Tract 37049960402 · Craven County, NC · pop 4,536 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 37049960402, home to 4,536 residents in Oakdale in New Bern, scores 5.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,106 monthly, set against $60,754 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,692
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$60,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Bern and the region
Centroid at 35.0894, -77.0955 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakdale scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Bern
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Bern
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Bern
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Bern
6.9
How Oakdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 174Total filings over 2 yrs
- 17.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2016)
- 74Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakdale
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Bern eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Craven County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 174 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 17.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.0% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37049960402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37049960402?
Census tract 37049960402 in the Oakdale neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37049960402?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37049960402?
17.5% of residents in tract 37049960402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,536.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37049960402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 97th, minority 70th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 37049960402 considered part of Oakdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37049960402 fall within Oakdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37049960402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 174 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37049960402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.44% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37049960402 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37049960402 compare to New Bern overall?
Tract 37049960402 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of New Bern at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Bern eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Bern
Top eight tracts in New Bern ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
37049960502
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Woodrow
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
DeGraffenried Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
DeGraffenried Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
DeGraffenried Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37049960501
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37049960401
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Taberna
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Related