Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

New Bern Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37049960502 · Craven County, NC · pop 4,262 · 66% of tract blocks fall in New Bern

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 37049960502 (New Bern, North Carolina) comes in at 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $900 a month against an average household income of $37,439 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 25% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,926

Renter share44.3%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate35.5%

Median income$37,439

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New Bern and the region

Centroid at 35.1518, -77.1045 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Bern scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New Bern

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

35.5% poverty · this tract

8.9

Supply constraint

$900 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from New Bern

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New Bern

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from New Bern

6.9

How New Bern compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.6%Housing insecurity
16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
30.7%Food insecurity
29.7%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
16.4%No health insurance
20.4%Frequent mental distress
42.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Bern

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Bern eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Craven County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37049960502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37049960502?

Census tract 37049960502 in New Bern scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37049960502?

Median gross rent is $900/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37049960502?

35.5% of residents in tract 37049960502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,262.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37049960502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 96th, minority 71th, housing 93th.

What share of households in tract 37049960502 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37049960502 compare to New Bern overall?

Tract 37049960502 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of New Bern at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Bern eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Bern

Top eight tracts in New Bern ranked by composite eviction-risk score.