West End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winston-Salem

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $688 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Winston-Salem commands. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Against Forsyth County at 41.1%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Forsyth County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

The filing record is not thin: 803 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 33.9% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Winston-Salem. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 22.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.