Coventry Eviction Risk: Lower , Winston-Salem

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Forsyth County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

The filing record is not thin: 129 evictions over 4 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2006 at 34.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 16.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $99,044, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.