Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Nocho Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Greensboro

Tract 37081011201 · Guilford County, NC · pop 3,200 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Here is how census tract 37081011201, in the Nocho Park area of Greensboro eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.5/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,200. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $807 a month against an average household income of $31,964 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 82% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 41% Owners 18%

Tract context

Occupied units1,196

Renter share81.6%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate42.3%

Median income$31,964

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greensboro and the region

Centroid at 36.0677, -79.7758 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nocho Park scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Greensboro

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

42.3% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$807 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Greensboro

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Greensboro

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Greensboro

3.5

How Nocho Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
41%Grade C
45%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nocho Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.5%Housing insecurity
18.2%Utility-shutoff threat
34.4%Food insecurity
31.4%SNAP enrollment
20.8%Transit barriers
13.3%No health insurance
24.7%Frequent mental distress
40.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nocho Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Guilford County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37081011201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081011201?

Census tract 37081011201 in the Nocho Park neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37081011201?

Median gross rent is $807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37081011201?

42.3% of residents in tract 37081011201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,200.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37081011201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 7th, minority 80th, housing 94th.

Is tract 37081011201 considered part of Nocho Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081011201 fall within Nocho Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37081011201 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37081011201 compare to Greensboro overall?

Tract 37081011201 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 37081011201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 45% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro

Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.