Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Nocho Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Greensboro

Tract 37081011202 · Guilford County, NC · pop 3,045 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 37081011202 (the Nocho Park area of Greensboro, North Carolina) comes in at 6.5/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $977 a month while the average household earns $31,080 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 19% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units1,301

Renter share57.6%

SVI overall1.00

Poverty rate50.0%

Median income$31,080

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greensboro and the region

Centroid at 36.0608, -79.7767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nocho Park scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Greensboro

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

50.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$977 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Greensboro

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Greensboro

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Greensboro

3.5

How Nocho Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
42%Grade C
44%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nocho Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.9%Housing insecurity
28.3%Utility-shutoff threat
46.7%Food insecurity
49.9%SNAP enrollment
24.7%Transit barriers
18.4%No health insurance
22.5%Frequent mental distress
49.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nocho Park

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Guilford County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 34.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 28.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 44% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37081011202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081011202?

Census tract 37081011202 in the Nocho Park neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37081011202?

Median gross rent is $977/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37081011202?

50.0% of residents in tract 37081011202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,045.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37081011202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 100th, minority 97th, housing 93th.

Is tract 37081011202 considered part of Nocho Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081011202 fall within Nocho Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37081011202 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37081011202 compare to Greensboro overall?

Tract 37081011202 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 37081011202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro

Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.