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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Nocho Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greensboro

Tract 37081011202 · Guilford County, NC · pop 3,045 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 37081011202 covers part of the Nocho Park area of Greensboro, NC, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,045. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 19% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,301
Renter share57.6%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate50.0%
Median income$31,080

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Nocho Park
Very Low
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 82 tracts In Greensboro
Very High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 126 tracts In Guilford County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#367 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Greensboro and the region

Centroid at 36.0608, -79.7767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nocho Park scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Greensboro
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
50.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$977 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greensboro
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greensboro
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greensboro
3.5

How Nocho Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nocho Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0112023.9Greensboroparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nocho Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nocho Park

Against Guilford County at 44.7%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 50%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $31,080, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Disability prevalence runs 49.3% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Guilford County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Average gross rent is $977, 17% below the Greensboro average. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37081011202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081011202?

Census tract 37081011202 in the Nocho Park neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37081011202?

Median gross rent is $977/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37081011202?

50.0% of residents in tract 37081011202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,045.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37081011202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 100th, minority 97th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 37081011202 considered part of Nocho Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081011202 fall within Nocho Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37081011202 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37081011202 compare to Greensboro overall?

Tract 37081011202 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 37081011202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro

Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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