Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tuscany Eviction Risk: Lower , Archer Lodge
Tract 37101040207 ·
Johnston County, NC · pop 11,443 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
37101040207 is a census tract in the Tuscany area of Archer Lodge, NC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 5%Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units4,511
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$130,422
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Tuscany
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Archer Lodge
Moderate
Within county
15th percentile
#45 of 53 tracts In Johnston County
Very Low
Within state
28th percentile
#1,927 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Archer Lodge and the region
Centroid at 35.6480, -78.3653 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tuscany scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Archer Lodge
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,117 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Archer Lodge
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Archer Lodge
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Archer Lodge
3.8
How Tuscany compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
8%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
10%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.4%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
8.8%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tuscany
At $2,117 a month, rents run 45% over what the rest of Archer Lodge commands. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.2/10.
Cost burden runs 46% here against 35.7% across Johnston County. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
It sits 1.1 points below the Johnston County average of 4.1. Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $130,422.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37101040207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040207?
Census tract 37101040207 in the Tuscany neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37101040207?
Median gross rent is $2,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040207?
7.6% of residents in tract 37101040207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,443.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 7th, minority 38th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 37101040207 considered part of Tuscany?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37101040207 fall within Tuscany (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37101040207 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37101040207 compare to Archer Lodge overall?
Tract 37101040207 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Archer Lodge at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Archer Lodge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Archer Lodge
Top eight tracts in Archer Lodge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.