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Smithfield, North Carolina eviction risk overview
City brief · 12,116 residents

Smithfield, NC Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Johnston County · Population 12,116

In 2026
Risk score
5.1
MODERATE

83th percentile, North Carolina.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.1 Average3.4 Now5.1
10 5 1976 · score 2.3 1977 · score 2.3 1978 · score 2.4 1979 · score 2.6 1980 · score 2.3 1981 · score 2.3 1982 · score 2.4 1983 · score 2.3 1984 · score 2.1 1985 · score 2.2 1986 · score 2.2 1987 · score 2.2 1988 · score 2.2 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.3 1991 · score 2.4 1992 · score 2.7 1993 · score 2.7 1994 · score 2.7 1995 · score 2.8 1996 · score 2.7 1997 · score 2.8 1998 · score 2.8 1999 · score 2.9 2000 · score 2.7 2001 · score 2.9 2002 · score 2.9 2003 · score 3.0 2004 · score 3.0 2005 · score 3.0 2006 · score 3.1 2007 · score 3.2 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.9 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 4.0 2012 · score 3.9 2013 · score 4.0 2014 · score 4.1 2015 · score 4.2 2016 · score 4.3 2017 · score 4.5 2018 · score 4.7 2019 · score 5.0 2020 · score 5.6 2021 · score 5.7 2022 · score 5.7 2023 · score 5.7 2024 · score 5.8 2025 · score 6.1 2026 · score 5.1

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.4 Regional 4.4 State 2.3 Economic 8.8 Supply 5.4 Rent Control 7.8 Eviction 1.7 Tenant 9.2 Housing 8.5 5.1 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +21.5% (2024)
    4.4
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.4
  3. State political climate
    North Carolina legislature & governorship
    2.3
  4. Economic stress
    31.4% poverty · 8.2% unemp.
    8.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $658 average · 41.3% renters
    5.4
  6. Rent Control risk
    35.8% of income on rent
    7.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    48 days filing → judgment
    1.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    41.3% renters
    9.2
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    8.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smithfield and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Smithfield compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Johnston County
High
#3 of 10 cities
Rank in county, 78th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 10 cities in Johnston County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in North Carolina
High
#151 of 774 cities
Rank in state, 81st percentileBottomTop
#151 of 774 cities in North Carolina for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Smithfield risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Smithfield: 5.15.1SmithfieldThis cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg in countyState: 4.84.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.1
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5.1/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 48d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $658/mo. A contested eviction takes 48 days and costs $1,577-$4,254 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 41.3%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 12,116 residents, 41.3% rent. 36% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 31.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.4 and 4.4 (GOP margin +21.5% (2024)). State climate at 2.3, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.3
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.7, housing court bias 8.5, rent-control risk 7.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8.8. Supply constraint: 5.4. The numbers behind those: 31.4% poverty, 8.2% unemployment, 36% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Smithfield sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Raleigh, NC · 45d · ~$3.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 5.3 Raleigh Durham, NC · 45d · ~$2.7k all-in ($60/day) · score 5.8 Durham Fayetteville, NC · 48d · ~$2.8k all-in ($59/day) · score 3.9 Fayetteville Cary, NC · 46d · ~$2.8k all-in ($61/day) · score 3.6 Cary Apex, NC · 45d · ~$2.6k all-in ($58/day) · score 4.5 Apex Chapel Hill, NC · 42d · ~$2.9k all-in ($68/day) · score 4.1 Chapel Hill Rocky Mount, NC · 44d · ~$2.9k all-in ($66/day) · score 4 Rocky Mount Wake Forest, NC · 47d · ~$3.3k all-in ($70/day) · score 5 Wake Forest Charlotte, NC · 43d · ~$2.9k all-in ($68/day) · score 5.1 Charlotte Greensboro, NC · 44d · ~$2.7k all-in ($61/day) · score 5.1 Greensboro Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Smithfield
Smithfield · 48d · ~$2.9k all-in ($61/day) · score 5.1 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Smithfield, NC

Landlording in Smithfield, North Carolina, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Smithfield is a city of 12,116 residents where 41.3% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 35.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $658/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Smithfield eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Smithfield closes 48 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Smithfield's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 8.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Smithfield runs $1,577 to $4,254 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 48 days of typical timeline and $658/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.2/10 in Smithfield, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In North Carolina, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Smithfield: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match North Carolina's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,254 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Smithfield

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 48 days and roughly $4,254 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,701 to $2,552 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under NCGS 42-26.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Smithfield without a reason?

North Carolina does not have a statewide "just-cause" eviction requirement for landlords. This means for month-to-month tenancies or at the end of a lease term, you generally don't need a specific reason to terminate the tenancy, provided you give proper notice (e.g., 7 days for month-to-month, or as specified in your lease for longer terms). However, you cannot evict for discriminatory or retaliatory reasons.

Q2

What's the most common mistake landlords make during an eviction?

The most common mistake is failing to follow the legal notice requirements precisely. Whether it's not giving the full 10-day pay-or-quit notice, or improperly serving the notice, any procedural error can cause your case to be dismissed, forcing you to start over and costing you more time and money.

Q3

How can I protect myself from rent control issues in North Carolina?

North Carolina has a statewide preemption against rent control, meaning local governments cannot enact rent control ordinances. This is reflected in Smithfield's low rent-control-risk sub-score of 7.8 (low meaning low risk *of* rent control, not low score for landlords). So, for now, you don't need to worry about rent caps. However, always stay informed about state legislative changes. See our North Carolina rent control rules for more.

Q4

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the court grants the eviction?

If the court grants you a judgment for possession and the tenant still won't leave, you must then obtain a "Writ of Possession" from the court. This writ authorizes the sheriff to physically remove the tenant and their belongings from the property. You cannot do this yourself; it must be done by the sheriff. This step adds to the overall timeline and cost.

Q5

Should I accept partial rent payments during an eviction?

Generally, no. Accepting a partial rent payment after serving a pay-or-quit notice can sometimes be interpreted by the court as waiving your right to evict based on that notice, forcing you to restart the process. If you absolutely must accept a partial payment, get a written agreement stating it's not a waiver of your eviction rights and that the eviction process will continue unless the full amount is paid by a specific date.

Q6

Are there any specific tenant protections I should be aware of in Smithfield?

While Smithfield doesn't have local ordinances beyond state law, North Carolina does have certain tenant protections. For instance, landlords must maintain the property in a fit and habitable condition, and you cannot shut off utilities to force a tenant out. It's crucial to understand these to avoid legal trouble. Our North Carolina tenant protections guide has more details.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.1/10 places Smithfield in the 83rd percentile of North Carolina cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.