Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Clayton
Tract 37101040906 · Johnston County, NC · pop 1,862 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
37101040906 is a census tract in the Valley Creek area of Clayton, NC. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,862. Severe burden reaches 58%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units820
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$84,565
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clayton and the region
Centroid at 35.5863, -78.4327 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Creek scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clayton
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$958 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clayton
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clayton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clayton
5.6
How Valley Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Valley Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Creek
about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Johnston County average of 35.7%. At $958 a month, rents run 42% under what the rest of Clayton commands.
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.
Against average income of $84,565, annual rent is just 14%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Johnston County average of 4.1 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37101040906
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040906?
Census tract 37101040906 in the Valley Creek neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37101040906?
Median gross rent is $958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040906?
8.0% of residents in tract 37101040906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,862.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040906?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 9th, minority 39th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 37101040906 considered part of Valley Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37101040906 fall within Valley Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37101040906 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37101040906 compare to Clayton overall?
Tract 37101040906 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Clayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clayton
Top eight tracts in Clayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Valley Creek
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37101040209
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37101041001
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37101041004
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
A. L. Spaugh
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041003
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041105
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041110
3
/ 10 · Low
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