Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Clayton
Tract 37101040906 · Johnston County, NC · pop 1,862 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
In the Valley Creek neighborhood of Clayton, census tract 37101040906 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 60% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 78% of renter households, a severe level, and 58% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $958 a month against an average household income of $84,565 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units820
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$84,565
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clayton and the region
Centroid at 35.5863, -78.4327 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Creek scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clayton
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$958 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clayton
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clayton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clayton
5.6
How Valley Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Valley Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Creek
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Johnston County average of 5.0 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37101040906
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040906?
Census tract 37101040906 in the Valley Creek neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37101040906?
Median gross rent is $958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040906?
8.0% of residents in tract 37101040906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,862.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040906?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 9th, minority 39th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 37101040906 considered part of Valley Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37101040906 fall within Valley Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37101040906 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37101040906 compare to Clayton overall?
Tract 37101040906 scores 2.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Clayton at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clayton
Top eight tracts in Clayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Valley Creek
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101040209
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041001
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041004
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041003
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041105
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
A. L. Spaugh
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041005
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
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