Eviction Risk in Valley Creek , Clayton
Tract 37101040906 · Johnston County, NC · pop 1,862 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 37101040906 sits in the Valley Creek neighborhood of Clayton, North Carolina. It has a population of 1,862 and an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). 78% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 58% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $958/month against a median household income of $84,565 — roughly 14% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,041 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 6.5%
- White (non-Hispanic) 75.1%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 13.8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 1.7%
- Other / Multiracial 2.9%
How the 5.6/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.3 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.3 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 3.8 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 4.4 | Clayton (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 6.8 | Clayton (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 2.7 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 7.5 | Clayton (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.6 | Clayton (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 2.0 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.0 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Valley Creek. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
About tract 37101040906
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040906?
Census tract 37101040906 in the Valley Creek neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 37101040906?
Median gross rent is $958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040906?
8.0% of residents in tract 37101040906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,862.
How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040906?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 9th, minority 39th, housing 36th.
Is tract 37101040906 considered part of Valley Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37101040906 fall within Valley Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 37101040906 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.