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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Charlotte

Tract 37119001923 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 4,010 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 37119001923, in the Lake Forest area of Charlotte eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,010. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,358 monthly, set against $57,643 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 24% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,619
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$57,643

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Lake Forest
Elevated
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#44 of 255 tracts In Charlotte
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 305 tracts In Mecklenburg County
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#631 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Charlotte and the region

Centroid at 35.2114, -80.7175 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Forest scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5

How Lake Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 001923Charlotte: 3.23.2Charlotteparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 762Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 29.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.8%Peak (2014)
  • 188Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371190019232005: 180 filings (39.43/100 renter HHs)2014: 224 filings (29.75/100 renter HHs)2015: 170 filings (22.58/100 renter HHs)2016: 188 filings (27.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mecklenburg County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 762 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 29.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 29.8% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119001923

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119001923?

Census tract 37119001923 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37119001923?

Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119001923?

19.7% of residents in tract 37119001923 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,010.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119001923?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 70th, minority 82th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 37119001923 considered part of Lake Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119001923 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37119001923?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 762 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37119001923 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.75% of renter households, peaking at 29.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37119001923 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37119001923 compare to Charlotte overall?

Tract 37119001923 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Charlotte at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte

Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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