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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Charlotte

Tract 37119001924 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 2,732 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in Lake Forest in Charlotte centers on tract 37119001924, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,732 residents. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,107 monthly, set against $41,954 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 27% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units973
Renter share64.3%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$41,954

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Lake Forest
Low
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#71 of 255 tracts In Charlotte
Elevated
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 305 tracts In Mecklenburg County
High
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#969 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Charlotte and the region

Centroid at 35.2135, -80.7353 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Forest scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5

How Lake Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 001924Charlotte: 3.23.2Charlotteparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mecklenburg County average of 5.5 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119001924

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119001924?

Census tract 37119001924 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37119001924?

Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119001924?

10.2% of residents in tract 37119001924 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,732.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119001924?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 82th, minority 94th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 37119001924 considered part of Lake Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119001924 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37119001924 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37119001924 compare to Charlotte overall?

Tract 37119001924 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Charlotte at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte

Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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