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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Matthews Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37119005866 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 4,224 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 37119005866 in the Matthews Commercial Historic District area of Matthews, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 55% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units2,034
Renter share99.5%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$60,533

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Matthews Commercial Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Matthews
Very High
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#106 of 305 tracts In Mecklenburg County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#864 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Matthews and the region

Centroid at 35.1345, -80.7259 · click any tract to drill in

Why Matthews Commercial Historic District scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Matthews
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,541 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Matthews
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Matthews
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Matthews
3.6

How Matthews Commercial Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Matthews Commercial Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0058664.0Matthewsparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Matthews Commercial Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Matthews Commercial Historic District

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,541, 13% below the Matthews average.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Mecklenburg County average of 4.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $60,533.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119005866

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119005866?

Census tract 37119005866 in the Matthews Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37119005866?

Median gross rent is $1,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119005866?

7.8% of residents in tract 37119005866 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,224.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119005866?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 14th, minority 72th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 37119005866 considered part of Matthews Commercial Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119005866 fall within Matthews Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37119005866 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37119005866 compare to Matthews overall?

Tract 37119005866 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Matthews at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Matthews eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Matthews

Top eight tracts in Matthews ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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