Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

SpringCrest Eviction Risk: Lower , Chapel Hill

Tract 37135011206 · Orange County, NC · pop 3,640 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

SpringCrest in Chapel Hill is where census tract 37135011206 sits, home to 3,640 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #46,142 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,499 monthly, set against $112,857 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 34% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units1,518

Renter share57.0%

SVI overall0.30

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$112,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chapel Hill and the region

Centroid at 35.9572, -79.0172 · click any tract to drill in

Why SpringCrest scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chapel Hill

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,499 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chapel Hill

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chapel Hill

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chapel Hill

4.0

How SpringCrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.1%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
5.1%SNAP enrollment
5.0%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
20.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in SpringCrest

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135011206

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135011206?

Census tract 37135011206 in the SpringCrest neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37135011206?

Median gross rent is $1,499/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135011206?

11.2% of residents in tract 37135011206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,640.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135011206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 50th, minority 67th, housing 39th.

Is tract 37135011206 considered part of SpringCrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135011206 fall within SpringCrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37135011206 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37135011206 compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Tract 37135011206 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Chapel Hill at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chapel Hill

Top eight tracts in Chapel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.