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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Briarcliff Eviction Risk: Lower , Chapel Hill

Tract 37135012102 · Orange County, NC · pop 1,443 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 37135012102 runs through Briarcliff in Chapel Hill. With 1,443 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 12% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,681 a month while the average household earns $149,417 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 17% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units504
Renter share17.5%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$149,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Briarcliff
Moderate
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 17 tracts In Chapel Hill
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 42 tracts In Orange County
Low
Within state
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#1,960 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chapel Hill and the region

Centroid at 35.9265, -79.0132 · click any tract to drill in

Why Briarcliff scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chapel Hill
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,681 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chapel Hill
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chapel Hill
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chapel Hill
4.0

How Briarcliff compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Briarcliff risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 012102Chapel Hill: 3.43.4Chapel Hillparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Briarcliff

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 5.4 and below the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135012102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135012102?

Census tract 37135012102 in the Briarcliff neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37135012102?

Median gross rent is $1,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135012102?

3.8% of residents in tract 37135012102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,443.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135012102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 87th, minority 35th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 37135012102 considered part of Briarcliff?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135012102 fall within Briarcliff (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37135012102 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37135012102 compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Tract 37135012102 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chapel Hill at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chapel Hill

Top eight tracts in Chapel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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