Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Timber Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Raleigh
Tract 37183052706 · Wake County, NC · pop 4,366 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 37183052706 covers part of the Timber Lakes area of Raleigh, NC, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,366. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,621
Renter share43.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$83,155
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Raleigh and the region
Centroid at 35.8088, -78.5897 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timber Lakes scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Raleigh
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,147 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Raleigh
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Raleigh
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Raleigh
4.0
How Timber Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 291Total filings over 2 yrs
- 18.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.4%Peak (2015)
- 131Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.7%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.1%Food insecurity
- 18.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 16.1%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timber Lakes
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. At $1,147 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Raleigh commands.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Cost burden runs 36% here against 42.7% across Wake County. Against the Wake County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
The filing record is not thin: 291 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 20.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 18.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.
Against average income of $83,155, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183052706
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183052706?
Census tract 37183052706 in the Timber Lakes neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183052706?
Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183052706?
12.9% of residents in tract 37183052706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183052706?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 23th, minority 81th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 37183052706 considered part of Timber Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183052706 fall within Timber Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37183052706?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 291 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37183052706 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.12% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37183052706 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37183052706 compare to Raleigh overall?
Tract 37183052706 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Raleigh at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Raleigh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Raleigh
Top eight tracts in Raleigh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Hinton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Heatherbrook
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
College View
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Bryson
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Fairview Hills
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Rollingwood
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
A. C. Barefoot
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Lands End at Eaglechase
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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